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توقع: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

"توقع: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 82% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 70% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 59% O/U 8.5 57% Volume: $180K Liquidity: $2.1M Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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توقع: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.582%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.570%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.559%
O/U 8.557%
NRFI56%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.548%
O/U 9.547%
Spread -1.545%
O/U 10.540%
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks39%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.538%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.537%
Spread -2.534%
Spread -1.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.527%
Spread -2.520%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

The Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks met in Phoenix on 11 August, with the market’s 39% yes price implying a modest Rockies chance in a matchup that has generally tilted Arizona’s way this season. The clubs split two games in late May, but the Diamondbacks have already taken control of the 2026 head-to-head, winning six of the first seven meetings and outscoring Colorado comfortably across the series. Recent results also point towards Arizona’s edge: the Diamondbacks opened the current set with a 9-0 win on Monday, while Colorado arrived after a difficult run of results. [3][13][15]

The longer frame still matters because Colorado’s profile has been volatile all year. Earlier 2026 results included a 3-2 Rockies win in Phoenix and an 8-6 Arizona win in Denver, so these games have not been one-way traffic, but the broader head-to-head record strongly favours Arizona over the past several seasons. Colorado has also been hampered by a long injury list, including Ezequiel Tovar, Kris Bryant and Kyle Freeland, while Arizona has had its own pitching absences, including Corbin Burnes, A.J. Puk and Justin Martinez. [4][14][16]

For traders, the main catalysts are late line-up confirmation and pitching availability, because both teams have been operating with patched-up rosters. Arizona’s recent scoring surge, driven by Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte, has been a meaningful form signal, while Colorado’s line-up has been more dependent on patchwork production after multiple injured-list hits. Any late scratch to a starter or unexpected bullpen reshuffle would matter more than usual in a series where recent scorelines have swung from a Rockies upset to a Diamondbacks blow-out. [6][13][16]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 82% for "توقع: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 82% Other 18%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $180K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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