Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
78% | 22% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
78% | 22% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 78% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 65% |
| O/U 7.5 | 62% |
| O/U 8.5 | 55% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| NRFI | 49% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins | 46% |
| O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| Spread -2.5 | 26% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: detroit tigers vs. minnesota twins stands at 78% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for August 31 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers w…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $158K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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