Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
74% | 26% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
74% | 26% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 74% |
| O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 61% |
| O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| NRFI | 49% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | 46% |
| O/U 8.5 | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 25% |
| Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| Extra Innings | 8% |
Market context
Detroit and Seattle meet with the market sitting close to a coin flip at 46% for the Tigers, which is broadly in line with the betting drift seen across recent previews. The Mariners have generally been priced as the slight favourite, with moneyline numbers around Seattle -126 to -155 and Detroit between +104 and +144, while the total has mostly sat in the 7.5-8.5 range, pointing to a relatively tight, lower-scoring game rather than a blowout.[1][3][6][12]
That pricing fits the recent head-to-head pattern: these clubs have split the market’s attention all season, with neither side establishing a decisive edge in form or run production, and published previews have alternated between narrow Mariners and Tigers advantages depending on the venue and pitching set-up.[2][4][14] Late-July records in one market snapshot had Detroit at 50-57 and Seattle at 52-55, but more recent board prices still imply only a small gap, so the 46% Tigers price is consistent with a game where starting pitching and line-up availability matter more than season-long record.[2][4][15]
The main catalysts to watch are the confirmed line-ups, any late change to the probable starter, and whether either club rests regulars after recent scheduling pressure. The clearest market-moving signal from the available previews is that Seattle’s side has attracted the stronger moneyline support, while the Tigers’ best path is usually framed as keeping the game in a low-total, one-run type of script.[1][5][12] If the Mariners can field their stronger preferred attack and Detroit is missing middle-order bats, the market is more likely to move away from the current 46% Tigers level; if the Tigers get the cleaner pitching matchup and Seattle’s batting order is softened, that gap should narrow further.[6][12]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $80K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners on احتمالات كأس العالم
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →