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توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants

"توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 77% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 64% Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants 56% O/U 7.5 56% Volume: $138K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.577%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.564%
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants56%
O/U 7.556%
O/U 8.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.550%
NRFI48%
Spread -1.544%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.539%
O/U 9.539%
Spread -2.533%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.532%
Spread -1.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.527%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.527%
Spread -2.520%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

The Detroit Tigers visit the San Francisco Giants on a line that has Detroit a modest road favourite, which fits the market’s 56% YES price better than a coin flip. Bookmaking screens this morning had the Tigers around -128 and the Giants near +118, with model-led win probabilities clustering close to 60% Detroit, so the current crowd number is slightly softer on the Tigers than the broader market.[1][5][12]

Recent form leans the same way. Detroit have arrived off a strong run, including 11-0 and 8-0 wins in their last five games, while San Francisco have spent much of the year below .500 and are listed around 48-67 in live game pages and odds boards.[18][14][1] Head-to-head is also not especially kind to the Giants: several matchup trackers show Detroit leading the recent series record, with the Tigers having won four of the last five meetings.[6][11]

For traders, the key catalysts are line-up confirmation and starting pitching, because the market has already been set on a relatively tight run total of 8.5 and the side price is not large enough to absorb an unexpected downgrade.[1][5][12] Any late scratch, rest day or pitcher change will matter more than the historical numbers; if the Giants post a stronger home line-up than expected, the current gap can compress quickly. The game page is still showing the scheduled 10:15 pm ET start, so the main dependency is whether line-ups and the confirmed battery match the pre-game prices before first pitch.[14][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 77% for "توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 77% Other 23%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $138K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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