Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Draw | 100% |
| D.C. United SC | 0% |
| Nashville SC | 0% |
Market context
D.C. United’s home match against Nashville SC sits in a market that is pricing a very low upset chance, and the historical split does not offer much support for a home-win case. D.C. are 2-5-4 all-time in regular-season meetings with Nashville, and the most recent encounter ended 2-2 after United led by two at half-time, which is the kind of result that keeps the draw alive but does not materially weaken Nashville’s underlying edge[4][15]. Across the last five meetings listed by ESPN, Nashville have won twice, D.C. once, with two draws, and the broader head-to-head has generally been tight rather than one-sided[1][17].
The main reason the price can stay short on D.C. is form: D.C. entered the weekend at 5-5-7 and had taken at least a point in nine of their last ten league matches, while Nashville arrived as Supporters’ Shield leaders and unbeaten in three of their last five before the game[15][11]. D.C. were also coming off back-to-back 1-0 home wins before a 1-0 loss at Orlando, while Nashville had not scored more than once in a match since 23 May, which is relevant because it lowers the ceiling on a road favourite but does not automatically point towards a D.C. win[15].
For traders, the key catalysts are team-sheet news and whether Nashville rotate after a congested schedule, because their recent goal output has been subdued and their match state can become narrow if they score first[15][16]. D.C.’s attack also matters: Tai Baribo had led the side with 10 goals and had scored in three straight matches before this fixture, making any late injury or rest decision on him especially relevant to the market[15]. If either side loses a first-choice centre-back or starting striker in final pre-match announcements, that is the sort of shift that can move a low-probability home ticket more than the headline table position.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $178K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC on احتمالات كأس العالم
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