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توقع: New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC - More Markets

"توقع: New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC - More Markets" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 0.5 97% O/U 1.5 88% Nashville SC O/U 0.5 86% 1st Half O/U 0.5 79% Volume: $152K Liquidity: $308K Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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توقع: New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
97% 3% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
97% 3% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.597%
O/U 1.588%
Nashville SC O/U 0.586%
1st Half O/U 0.579%
Both Teams to Score72%
New York Red Bulls O/U 0.571%
2nd Half O/U 0.570%
2nd Half O/U 1.570%
Nashville SC O/U 1.569%
O/U 2.568%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half63%
New York Red Bulls 1st Half O/U 0.560%
2nd Half O/U 2.558%
Nashville SC 1st Half O/U 0.557%
New York Red Bulls 1st Half O/U 1.550%
New York Red Bulls 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
New York Red Bulls 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
O/U 3.545%
New York Red Bulls O/U 1.542%
Both Teams to Score in First Half39%
1st Half O/U 1.539%
Nashville SC 1st Half O/U 1.538%
Nashville SC (-1.5)37%
Nashville SC O/U 2.535%
O/U 4.524%
1st Half O/U 2.519%
New York Red Bulls O/U 2.518%
Nashville SC (-2.5)16%
New York Red Bulls (-1.5)9%
O/U 5.59%
New York Red Bulls (-2.5)5%

Market context

New York Red Bulls host Nashville SC in MLS with the market sitting at a low 9% YES for the more-markets slate, which fits a fixture with only modest upside from the listed team-news angle. The clearest pre-match absences are Red Bulls goalkeeper A.J. Marcucci and Nashville forward Warren Madrigal, while Rafael Mosquera is only questionable for New York and Patrick Yazbek has been flagged as a late-August issue for Nashville[4][8].

The historical frame points to a fairly tight game state rather than a one-sided mismatch. The sides have split the last five meetings 2-1 with two draws, and the broader head-to-head record has not produced a dominant trend either way[12][15]. That kind of record usually leaves little room for a heavily skewed “more markets” position unless the line-up news shifts sharply towards attacking strength or defensive disruption.

The main catalysts are the final team sheets and any late confirmation on Mosquera, because his availability would change New York’s wing depth, and Nashville’s structure is more sensitive if Yazbek is ruled out after a recent muscle issue[4][2]. Predicted line-ups circulating before kick-off had both teams close to full strength otherwise, with Nashville relying on Hany Mukhtar and Sam Surridge and New York leaning on Emil Forsberg, Julian Hall and Cade Cowell for chance creation[6][9]. If either side rotates from that expected XI, the market can move quickly before the 7:30 pm ET kick-off.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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