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توقع: San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC - More Markets

"توقع: San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC - More Markets" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

St. Louis City SC (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $146K Liquidity: $823K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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توقع: San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
St. Louis City SC (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
San Jose Earthquakes O/U 0.5100%
St. Louis City SC O/U 0.5100%
St. Louis City SC O/U 1.5100%
St. Louis City SC O/U 2.5100%
St. Louis City SC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
St. Louis City SC 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
San Jose Earthquakes 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
St. Louis City SC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
O/U 4.51%
San Jose Earthquakes O/U 1.51%
2nd Half O/U 2.51%
San Jose Earthquakes 2nd Half O/U 1.51%
St. Louis City SC 2nd Half O/U 1.51%
San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)0%
San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)0%
St. Louis City SC (-2.5)0%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.50%
San Jose Earthquakes 1st Half O/U 0.50%
San Jose Earthquakes 1st Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

An MLS regular-season fixture between San Jose Earthquakes and St. Louis City SC takes place on 15 August at 10:30 PM ET, with settlement tied to additional betting markets that may emerge around the match. The 0% implied probability suggests either no secondary markets have yet been created, or traders are awaiting team news before pricing positions. MLS fixtures at this stage of the season typically see moderate volatility in ancillary market creation, as sportsbooks gauge demand for props and live-betting options.

San Jose finished the 2023 season in mid-table form and has historically struggled against expansion or newly competitive sides. St. Louis City SC, entering only their second MLS campaign, showed competitive mettle in their inaugural 2023 season and have invested heavily in roster depth. Head-to-head records between these clubs remain thin; their first meeting occurred in 2023, with results offering limited predictive value. Recent injury reports and squad rotation patterns in the weeks preceding mid-August will shape available lineups, particularly for depth positions where MLS clubs often manage fatigue.

Traders should monitor official team sheets released 24–48 hours before kick-off, as suspensions or late withdrawals can shift secondary market odds substantially. Fixture congestion in the MLS calendar—with potential mid-week commitments or international breaks affecting squad availability—may influence whether sportsbooks launch additional markets at all. Weather conditions in San Jose in mid-August occasionally affect playing style, though this rarely moves odds materially unless extreme heat warnings emerge.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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