Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| St. Louis City SC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Real Salt Lake O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| St. Louis City SC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Real Salt Lake 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| St. Louis City SC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Real Salt Lake (-1.5) | 0% |
| St. Louis City SC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Real Salt Lake (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| St. Louis City SC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| St. Louis City SC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Real Salt Lake O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Real Salt Lake O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| St. Louis City SC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| St. Louis City SC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Real Salt Lake 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Real Salt Lake 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| St. Louis City SC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Real Salt Lake 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
St. Louis CITY SC hosted Real Salt Lake in an MLS meeting that finished 1-1, a scoreline that fits the recent pattern between these sides and helps explain why the “more markets” price sat at a very low probability before kick-off. St. Louis had been unbeaten in nine matches across all competitions, the longest such run in club history, but Real Salt Lake also arrived with enough form to take points away and had already gone unbeaten in recent head-to-heads on this ground. The matchup has been relatively competitive across the series, with RSL holding the edge overall and the clubs having traded tight results, including a 2-2 draw in their last league meeting at Energizer Park and a 3-2 RSL win in Utah last year.[1][2][4][10]
The key catalysts for any late move were the usual line-up and availability checks: St. Louis were already managing several absences in defence and midfield, while RSL had their own injury list and late-team-sheet decisions could matter in a fixture that has often been decided by fine margins.[11][16] Real Salt Lake’s report also noted the road trip context, with this match closing a three-game away swing, and St. Louis’ preview flagged their search for a first home win over RSL at Energizer Park.[9][10] For trader attention, the biggest drivers are confirmed starting XIs, whether any of the listed injuries return or worsen, and whether either side rotates after a congested stretch, because those factors can change the likelihood of goals, cards and other secondary markets more than the head-to-head record alone.[9][11]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: St. Louis City SC vs. Real Salt Lake - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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