Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Toronto FC | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| New England Revolution | 0% |
Market context
An MLS regular-season fixture between Toronto FC and New England Revolution is scheduled for Saturday, 15 August 2026. The match will determine divisional positioning in the Eastern Conference as both clubs approach the final stretch of the regular season. Toronto FC have historically held the upper hand in this rivalry, winning 12 of their last 20 meetings across all competitions, though recent form and squad depth will be decisive factors in how the encounter unfolds.
New England's record against Toronto over the past three seasons shows marginal improvement, with the Revolution securing draws in two of their last four league encounters. However, Toronto's home record at BMO Field—where this fixture is expected to take place—remains formidable, with only three defeats in their last fourteen matches there. The absence of key midfielders or defensive personnel through suspension or injury could significantly alter expected performance levels; both clubs typically field near-full-strength squads by mid-August, though pre-season roster decisions and summer transfers will shape available talent pools.
Traders should monitor team news releases in the week preceding the match, particularly regarding confirmed lineups and any late injury withdrawals. MLS fixture congestion in August often produces fatigue-related absences, and recent cup commitments may affect squad rotation decisions. Weather conditions at Toronto's venue rarely prove decisive, though humidity levels in mid-August can influence pace and pressing intensity. Betting markets typically reflect Toronto's historical advantage, making significant line movement unlikely unless material squad news emerges closer to kickoff.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $156K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Trade توقع: Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution on احتمالات كأس العالم
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