Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 20.5 | 92% |
| O/U 26.5 | 83% |
| O/U 22.5 | 76% |
| O/U 24.5 | 71% |
| O/U 28.5 | 70% |
| Spread -0.5 | 62% |
| O/U 32.5 | 62% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 59% |
| O/U 18.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| Bengals vs. Eagles | 53% |
| O/U 46.5 | 53% |
| O/U 42.5 | 52% |
| Eagles O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 21+ | 50% |
| Bengals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Eagles Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bengals vs. Eagles: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bengals vs. Eagles: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| O/U 36.5 | 49% |
| O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| 1H Moneyline | 46% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| O/U 38.5 | 43% |
| Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 40.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| O/U 44.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| O/U 50.5 | 16% |
| O/U 56.5 | 5% |
Market context
توقع: Bengals vs. Eagles — current market-implied probability: 92%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 28 at 8:00PM ET: If Bengals wins, the market will resolve to "Bengals". If Eagles wins, the market will resolve to "Eagles". If the game is postponed, th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $111K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Bengals vs. Eagles. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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