Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
71% | 29% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
71% | 29% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Patriots | 71% |
| Spread -2.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 63% |
| Patriots O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Eagles O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Patriots O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Patriots O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| O/U 36.5 | 47% |
| O/U 37.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 41% |
| Spread -1.5 | 29% |
Market context
The Eagles and Patriots met in preseason on 22 August with both sides carrying unsettled injury lists, and that matters more than historical edge in a market priced at 71% for Philadelphia. Philadelphia’s recent camp has been shaped by hamstring issues for DeVonta Smith and rookie Makai Lemon, while defensive backs Quinyon Mitchell and Cooper DeJean have also been monitored; New England has been tracking Christian Gonzalez, Ben Brown and Harold Landry among others, so a game-day hit to either secondary could move the number quickly.
Head-to-head history offers little clean signal here because preseason rotations and snap limits usually matter more than overall team quality. The better read is comparative depth and who is cleared to handle first-quarter reps: if Philadelphia gets more of its preferred front-line offence on the field, the market’s implied lean makes sense; if New England fields its better corners and limits the Eagles’ receivers, the gap narrows.
The main catalysts are the official injury reports, late practice participation and any confirmation of starters or planned snap counts before kick-off. ESPN’s game and injury coverage on 22 August listed Eagles players including Elijah Moore, Makai Lemon and Byron Young as questionable, while Patriots corner Christian Gonzalez was also questionable, leaving both teams vulnerable to late movement if one side’s key absences are upgraded or ruled out.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $234K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Eagles vs. Patriots. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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