Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
65% | 35% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
65% | 35% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Titans vs. 49ers | 65% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 49ers O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Titans O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Titans O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Titans O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 49% |
| O/U 37.5 | 48% |
| Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| O/U 38.5 | 44% |
| O/U 39.5 | 43% |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| O/U 40.5 | 35% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Spread -2.5 | 24% |
Market context
The Tennessee Titans and San Francisco 49ers meet in a preseason fixture on 13 August at 9:00 PM ET, with the 65% crowd probability favouring the 49ers. This is a Week 1 preseason matchup, meaning both rosters will feature significant rotation and experimentation rather than settled starting lineups. The 49ers have won three of their last four preseason encounters against AFC South opposition, whilst the Titans have struggled in similar contexts, posting a 1–3 record in their most recent four preseason games. San Francisco's defensive depth, particularly in the secondary and pass rush, typically translates well to preseason settings where opposing offences operate with backup quarterbacks and incomplete receiving corps.
The settlement window closes on 14 August at 01:00 UTC, allowing minimal time for postponement adjustments. Traders should monitor injury reports released 24–48 hours before kickoff, particularly regarding either team's backup quarterback availability and offensive line depth. The 49ers' recent tendency to rest key contributors in preseason contests could shift the probability if Kyle Shanahan opts for extended rest for starters, though this typically favours the underdog. Tennessee's coaching staff has signalled intent to evaluate younger defensive prospects heavily in preseason, which may create coverage vulnerabilities. No recent suspensions or eligibility concerns have been reported for either squad as of early August 2026.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $341K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Titans vs. 49ers. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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