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توقع: CU Técnica de Cajamarca vs. AD Tarma

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: CU Técnica de Cajamarca vs. AD Tarma" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Draw 100% CU Técnica de Cajamarca 0% AD Tarma 0% Volume: $87K Liquidity: $104K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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توقع: CU Técnica de Cajamarca vs. AD Tarma

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Draw100%
CU Técnica de Cajamarca0%
AD Tarma0%

Market context

UTC Cajamarca host ADT Tarma in Liga 1 with the market currently pricing a **0% YES** outcome, which sits well outside the head-to-head record. The recent matchup pattern has been mixed rather than one-sided: the sides have met seven to nine times since 2022 depending on the database, with UTC recording two to three wins, ADT one to three wins, and the rest draws, including a 2-2 draw in February 2026 and a 0-1 UTC defeat at home in April 2025.[1][2][10][11] That history argues for caution around an outright zero, because the fixture has repeatedly produced tight scorelines and stalemates rather than clean separation.[3][11]

Recent form also does not point to a settled favourite. UTC come in off a 4-1 away defeat to Cusco and a 0-0 home draw with Moquegua, while ADT have lost 0-1 to Deportivo Garcilaso and 2-0 to Sport Boys in their latest league results shown in the live form feeds.[9][10][17] The main catalysts for traders are late team sheets and any confirmation of absences, because neither the provided sources nor the pre-match listings give reliable injury or suspension detail for this fixture; that leaves market moves dependent on whether UTC can tighten up after conceding seven goals across their last three listed matches, and whether ADT’s recent run of low-scoring games extends.[9][10][17]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Draw at 100% for "توقع: CU Técnica de Cajamarca vs. AD Tarma".

Draw 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $87K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: CU Técnica de Cajamarca vs. AD Tarma. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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