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توقع: Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Hibernian FC 100% Rangers FC 0% Draw 0% Volume: $441K Liquidity: $558K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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توقع: Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Hibernian FC100%
Rangers FC0%
Draw0%

Market context

Rangers host Hibernian in a Scottish Premiership meeting at Ibrox, and the market’s 0% YES implies the event is already being priced as effectively impossible. That is far more extreme than the underlying footballing context: recent previews point to a tight, fairly open fixture rather than a dead cert either way, with one modelled forecast calling it 1-1 and another leaning Rangers 3-1 on home advantage. Recent form before this match was mixed on both sides, with Rangers coming off a 1-1 league draw at Dundee United and a 2-1 Europa League qualifying defeat at Jagiellonia Bialystok, while Hibernian had lost 2-1 at home to Motherwell. [5][2][6]

Historically, this is not a one-way fixture. FootyStats puts the overall head-to-head at 27 Rangers wins, 10 Hibernian wins and 9 draws across 46 meetings, while one recent preview noted Hibs had won the last meeting 2-1. [16][3] That blend of Rangers’ broader dominance and Hibs’ occasional upset is the right frame for reading any price that sits near zero: the market would normally need a major information shock, not routine home advantage, to justify such an extreme stance.

The main catalysts are team news and squad rotation. Pre-match line-up projections across recent previews pointed to Jack Butland, James Tavernier, Djiga, Fernandez and Aasgaard for Rangers, and a Hibernian side built around Martin Boyle, with no clear injury bulletin in the search results but several predicted XI changes suggesting late assessment matters. [1][4][3] Rangers’ European schedule is also relevant because midweek qualifier load can affect selection and intensity, while Hibernian’s league rhythm has been lighter; any official club injury update, suspension announcement or late change to the starting XIs would be the most direct driver of a repricing. [5][13]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Hibernian FC at 100% for "توقع: Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC".

Hibernian FC 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $441K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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