Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Degerfors IF | 100% |
| Malmo FF | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
Malmö FF against Degerfors IF is scheduled for Eleda Stadion on Sunday, with the crowd price of 0% YES sitting against a fixture where the market would normally expect the home side to carry most of the edge.[1][5] The historical framing still points one way: Malmö have dominated this matchup across recent meetings, with FootyStats putting the record at eight Malmö wins and two draws in the last ten, while other previews note Malmö are unbeaten in the last nine head-to-heads and won the most recent meeting 1-0 at Stora Valla.[15][3]
The way to read that against a 0% YES price is that a late team-sheet surprise, rather than the baseline form line, would need to drive the move. Malmö were reported to have won their previous league match 2-1 away at Brommapojkarna, with Sead Haksabanovic and Diego Garcia on the scoresheet, while Degerfors came in on a five-match losing run after a 2-0 defeat at IFK Göteborg.[3] For traders, the key catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, any last-minute injury or suspension news, and whether Malmö rotate after a short turnaround; the official match listings confirm the 12:00 UTC kick-off, so any market repricing should come once team news lands rather than from the pre-match label alone.[1][5]
Recent statistical previews also lean towards Malmö rather than a tight home-draw scenario, with published models and tips repeatedly backing the visitors or a Malmö win and often projecting goals rather than a low-event match.[9][15][20] That matters because Degerfors have been repeatedly described in recent coverage as struggling for results, which keeps the downside for the favourite narrow unless Malmö are weakened by absences or selection changes.[3][8]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $209K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Malmo FF vs. Degerfors IF. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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