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توقع: Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $182K Liquidity: $571K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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توقع: Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 0.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 1.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 2.5100%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 0.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Team to Advance75%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-1.5)0%
Shamrock Rovers FC (-2.5)0%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 1.50%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë O/U 2.50%
Shamrock Rovers FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Shamrock Rovers host KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the first leg of this Europa League qualifying tie at Tallaght Stadium, and the market’s 100% YES pricing is consistent with a match that is already fully landed in the live schedule and likely being treated as a near-certain listing rather than a football handicap. The underlying football context is tighter: Shamrock come in after a 0-0 draw with Drogheda, following a Champions League qualifying exit to Ararat-Armenia, while Egnatia have taken this route via a separate Champions League exit on penalties to Celje after two high-scoring draws.[2][7][13]

The historical frame is limited because this is the first ever meeting between the clubs, so traders should read comparable European qualifiers rather than head-to-head history.[11] Shamrock’s home record is the more relevant benchmark: they have won five and drawn one of their last six at Tallaght, and their three most recent European matches there produced a 10-3 aggregate scoreline.[7] Egnatia, by contrast, have avoided defeat in 90 minutes across eight straight European matches, which makes them a live, organised away side even if penalties ultimately eliminated them last time out.[7]

The main catalysts before kick-off are team news and squad availability, because the pricing on “more markets” often shifts once starting XIs and bench strength are confirmed. The fixture is listed for 6 August at Tallaght Stadium, with the return leg already scheduled for 13 August in Rrogozhinë, so any rotation, recovery issue, or late suspension from the first leg will feed directly into the second-leg market as well.[1][4][10] Recent preview material has leaned towards Shamrock at home, but the edge is not overwhelming, so official line-up announcements and any late injury updates are the key dependency to watch.[7][14]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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