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توقع: UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 93% O/U 1.5 Rounds 87% O/U 2.5 Rounds 81% O/U 3.5 Rounds 74% Volume: $186K Liquidity: $457K Closes: 25 Oct 2026
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توقع: UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds93%
O/U 1.5 Rounds87%
O/U 2.5 Rounds81%
O/U 3.5 Rounds74%
O/U 4.5 Rounds71%
Decision or Draw69%
Fight to Go the Distance?68%
Fight won by decision?67%
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev51%
Ends before Round 5?29%
Fight won by KO/TKO?23%
Ends before Round 4?23%
Ends before Round 3?18%
Volkanovski to win by KO/TKO?15%
Evloev to win by KO/TKO?12%
Fight won by submission?12%
Ends before Round 2?9%
Volkanovski in Round 17%
Volkanovski in Round 26%
Volkanovski in Round 36%
Volkanovski in Round 46%
Evloev in Round 16%
Evloev in Round 26%
Evloev in Round 36%
Evloev in Round 46%
Volkanovski in Round 55%
Evloev in Round 55%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 93% YES probability for توقع: UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card). This market will resolve to "Alexander Volkanovski" if Alexander Volkanovski is officially declared the winner of the fight against Movsar Evloev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for Octo…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 93% for "توقع: UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 93% Other 7%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $186K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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