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توقع: UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)

"توقع: UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 92% O/U 1.5 Rounds 76% O/U 2.5 Rounds 66% Fight to Go the Distance? 60% Volume: $116K Liquidity: $149K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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توقع: UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds92%
O/U 1.5 Rounds76%
O/U 2.5 Rounds66%
Fight to Go the Distance?60%
Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima35%
Fight won by KO/TKO?26%
Charrière to win by KO/TKO?14%
Lima to win by KO/TKO?14%
Fight won by submission?14%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 92% probability to توقع: ufc fight night: morgan charrière vs. felipe lima (featherweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Morgan Charrière" if Morgan Charrière is officially declared the winner of the fight against Felipe Lima at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 92% for "توقع: UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 92% Other 8%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $116K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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