Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FK Kudrivka 1 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 50% |
| FK Kudrivka 3 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 50% |
| Any Other Score | 50% |
| FK Kudrivka 1 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 46% |
| FK Kudrivka 3 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 18% |
| FK Kudrivka 3 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 17% |
| FK Kudrivka 2 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 5% |
| FK Kudrivka 2 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 3% |
| FK Kudrivka 2 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 2% |
| FK Kudrivka 0 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 1% |
| FK Kudrivka 0 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 1% |
| FK Kudrivka 0 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 1% |
| FK Kudrivka 0 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 1 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 1 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 2 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 3 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
Market context
FK Kudrivka’s first league meetings with Shakhtar Donetsk have already pointed in Shakhtar’s favour, with the champion-style side winning 4-0 in October 2025 and 3-1 in April 2026. That is the main reason a 0% yes price on an exact-score market is not a shorthand for “no chance”, but for the market expecting a very specific scoreline to land amid a wide range of more likely Shakhtar win states[2][7]. Kudrivka’s recent results have been mixed, including a 1-0 win over Obolon Kyiv on 24 July and earlier summer defeats to Kolos Kovalivka and Livyi Bereh, while Shakhtar’s recent sequence includes wins over Rukh Lviv, Aberdeen and Kryvyi Rih, plus a draw with Polissya and losses to Legia and LNZ Cherkasy[2][12][13].
For traders, the decisive catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, especially whether Shakhtar rotate after a packed run of fixtures and how much attacking continuity they keep. Sofascore has the match listed with live score, head-to-head and line-up coverage, which usually becomes most relevant once team sheets are released close to kick-off[4][16]. The exact-score market is also sensitive to any late injury or suspension news, because even a single absent forward or centre-back can push the result from a routine away win into one of the lower-probability score bands, or into “Any Other Score” if the game opens up beyond the listed options.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: FK Kudrivka vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: FK Kudrivka vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Exact Score on احتمالات كأس العالم
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