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توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) 100% Volume: $253K Liquidity: $687K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+7.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-8.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+8.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-9.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+9.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-11.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+11.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+5.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-10.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+10.5)75%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.552%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)50%
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+7.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+6.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: valorant: evil geniuses vs nrg (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and NRG in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 9 at 5:00PM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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