Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
60% | 40% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
60% | 40% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 183.5 | 60% |
| O/U 184.5 | 56% |
| O/U 185.5 | 55% |
| Spread -12.5 | 54% |
| O/U 186.5 | 53% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| O/U 187.5 | 49% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 6.5 | 42% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 17.5 | 39% |
| Angel Reese: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Marina Mabrey: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Nyara Sabally: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Marina Mabrey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 17.5 | 27% |
| Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Nyara Sabally: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 26% |
| Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Angel Reese: Points O/U 15.5 | 26% |
| Nyara Sabally: Points O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 18.5 | 26% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 8.5 | 26% |
| Jordin Canada: Points O/U 10.5 | 25% |
| Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream | 14% |
Market context
Toronto Tempo face the Atlanta Dream in a game where the market is pricing a Toronto win at only **14%**, so the baseline reads as a clear Atlanta lean rather than a coin-flip. That sits comfortably below the most recent outright pricing seen for the matchup, with sportsbooks listing Atlanta as a solid favourite in prior meetings and the Dream winning the last documented clash 94-87 in June, when Rhyne Howard scored 20 and Atlanta extended a four-game run.[13][3]
Historically, the shape of this fixture has favoured Atlanta. Recent matchup data shows the Dream have taken the last three against Toronto, including a 111-92 win in July, and current August market snapshots still have Atlanta around **-13.5** on the spread with a moneyline as short as **-750**, which implies roughly an 88% win chance before vig.[8][5] Toronto’s 14% is therefore a shade more optimistic than some price feeds but still consistent with a strong underdog profile, especially if the Dream are close to full strength.[1][5]
The main trader watchpoints are late injury and rest updates, because this market resolves strictly on the final score and overtime counts, while postponement keeps it open and a cancellation would settle 50-50. The most relevant live source in the current feed is Fox Sports, which is carrying the game and flags a player-news section, so any final-team-sheet or availability change there could matter quickly to the line.[5] With the settlement window ending on 11 August, the key dependency is simply whether the scheduled 8:00 p.m. ET tip goes ahead on time and which starters are actually active at warm-up.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $54K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream on احتمالات كأس العالم
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →