Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
70% | 30% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
70% | 30% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 70% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro Match O/U 21.5 | 49% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 43% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro Set 1 Winner | 42% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro Match O/U 22.5 | 42% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro Set 2 Winner | 41% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro Match O/U 23.5 | 41% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro | 39% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 36% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 25% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 23% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: us open, qualification wta: rebecca marino vs fiona ferro stands at 70% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Rebecca Marino and Fiona Ferro in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This marke…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Marino vs Fiona Ferro. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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