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توقع: US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang 94% US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 Winner 85% US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 Winner 85% US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set Handicap +/-1.5 76% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $82K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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توقع: US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang94%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 Winner85%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 Winner85%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set Handicap +/-1.576%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 8.553%
Completed Match50%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 9.550%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Game Spread +/-6.550%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 21.537%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 22.532%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Set 1 O/U 10.532%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Total Sets: O/U 2.521%
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang Match O/U 23.521%

Market context

The توقع: US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang prediction market currently prices this outcome at 94% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Xiyu Wang in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga S…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Xiyu Wang. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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Related Topics

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