Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
47% | 53% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
47% | 53% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Other Score | 47% |
| Sevilla FC 1 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 19% |
| Sevilla FC 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 18% |
| Sevilla FC 2 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 18% |
| Sevilla FC 1 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 17% |
| Sevilla FC 0 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 16% |
| Sevilla FC 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 15% |
| Sevilla FC 0 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 14% |
| Sevilla FC 0 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 12% |
| Sevilla FC 3 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 9% |
| Sevilla FC 3 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 9% |
| Sevilla FC 2 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 8% |
| Sevilla FC 3 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 6% |
| Sevilla FC 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 0% |
| Sevilla FC 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 0% |
| Sevilla FC 2 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 0% |
| Sevilla FC 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 0% |
Market context
توقع: Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Exact Score — current market-implied probability: 47%. In the upcoming La Liga game between Sevilla FC and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sevilla FC vs. Rayo …
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade توقع: Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Exac… on احتمالات كأس العالم
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →