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توقع: LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) 100% Volume: $395K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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توقع: LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?10%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for توقع: LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season. This market refers to the LoL match between RED Canids and paiN Gaming in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 8 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Can…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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