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توقع: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 1.5 89% Detroit Tigers O/U 1.5 89% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 79% Detroit Tigers O/U 2.5 75% Volume: $117K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 3 Oct 2026
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توقع: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 1.589%
Detroit Tigers O/U 1.589%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.579%
Detroit Tigers O/U 2.575%
Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 2.573%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.567%
O/U 7.562%
Detroit Tigers O/U 3.561%
Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 3.559%
O/U 8.555%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.555%
NRFI51%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers48%
Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 4.547%
Detroit Tigers O/U 4.547%
O/U 9.544%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.543%
Spread -1.537%
Spread -1.536%
Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 5.535%
Detroit Tigers O/U 5.535%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.531%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.530%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
Spread -2.527%
Spread -2.526%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: pittsburgh pirates vs. detroit tigers stands at 89% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for September 26 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsb…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 1.5 at 89% for "توقع: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers".

Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 1.5 89% Other 11%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $117K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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