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توقع: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 69% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 54% O/U 7.5 51% NRFI 43% Volume: $482K Liquidity: $2.3M Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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توقع: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.569%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.554%
O/U 7.551%
NRFI43%
O/U 8.543%
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees41%
Spread -1.541%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.541%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.535%
O/U 9.533%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.531%
Spread -2.530%
Spread -1.530%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.523%
Spread -2.521%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.520%
Extra Innings10%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 69% probability to توقع: seattle mariners vs. new york yankees. In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 13 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 69% for "توقع: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 69% Other 31%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $482K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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