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توقع: Philadelphia Union vs. Charlotte FC - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Philadelphia Union vs. Charlotte FC - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Philadelphia Union O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $560K Liquidity: $378K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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توقع: Philadelphia Union vs. Charlotte FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Philadelphia Union O/U 0.5100%
Philadelphia Union 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score98%
O/U 2.582%
Charlotte FC O/U 0.581%
Philadelphia Union O/U 1.577%
Charlotte FC O/U 1.565%
2nd Half O/U 0.563%
2nd Half O/U 1.559%
Philadelphia Union O/U 2.554%
2nd Half O/U 2.552%
O/U 3.551%
2nd Half O/U 4.550%
Philadelphia Union 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Philadelphia Union 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Philadelphia Union 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Charlotte FC 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Charlotte FC (-3.5)49%
Charlotte FC (-4.5)49%
Charlotte FC (-5.5)49%
O/U 8.549%
Philadelphia Union (-5.5)47%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half46%
Philadelphia Union (-4.5)41%
2nd Half O/U 3.537%
Charlotte FC (-2.5)35%
Philadelphia Union (-1.5)34%
O/U 4.528%
Charlotte FC O/U 2.528%
Philadelphia Union O/U 5.527%
Philadelphia Union 2nd Half O/U 3.527%
Philadelphia Union O/U 3.525%
Charlotte FC O/U 3.520%
Philadelphia Union (-2.5)19%
Charlotte FC O/U 4.518%
Charlotte FC O/U 5.518%
O/U 7.516%
Philadelphia Union (-3.5)14%
O/U 5.513%
Philadelphia Union O/U 4.513%
Charlotte FC (-1.5)12%
O/U 6.511%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
1st Half O/U 3.50%
1st Half O/U 4.50%
Philadelphia Union 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Philadelphia Union 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Philadelphia Union 1st Half O/U 3.50%
Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 3.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: philadelphia union vs. charlotte fc - more markets stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 17 at 2:30 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Philadelphia Union vs. Charlotte FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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