Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
98% | 2% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
98% | 2% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 190.5 | 98% |
| O/U 192.5 | 96% |
| O/U 194.5 | 95% |
| O/U 196.5 | 93% |
| O/U 198.5 | 92% |
| O/U 200.5 | 90% |
| Thunder O/U 102.5 | 88% |
| O/U 202.5 | 87% |
| Suns O/U 94.5 | 86% |
| O/U 204.5 | 85% |
| 1H O/U 96.5 | 84% |
| Thunder O/U 104.5 | 83% |
| Suns O/U 96.5 | 83% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 82% |
| O/U 206.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 78% |
| O/U 208.5 | 77% |
| Thunder O/U 106.5 | 77% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 76% |
| Suns O/U 98.5 | 76% |
| O/U 210.5 | 74% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 74% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 73% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 73% |
| Suns 1H O/U 49.5 | 73% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 72% |
| Thunder O/U 108.5 | 71% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 54.5 | 71% |
| Suns O/U 100.5 | 70% |
| Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| O/U 212.5 | 69% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 4.5 | 69% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 68% |
| Spread -3.5 | 67% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 67% |
| O/U 214.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 65% |
| Thunder O/U 110.5 | 65% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 64% |
| Suns 1H O/U 51.5 | 64% |
| Suns O/U 102.5 | 64% |
| Spread -4.5 | 63% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 1.5 | 63% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 56.5 | 63% |
| O/U 216.5 | 62% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 62% |
| Spread -5.5 | 61% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 61% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 9.5 | 61% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 61% |
| 4Q O/U 50.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 60% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 1.5 | 59% |
| Thunder O/U 112.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 51.5 | 58% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 2.5 | 57% |
| Suns O/U 104.5 | 57% |
| O/U 218.5 | 56% |
| Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 55% |
| Spread -7.5 | 54% |
| O/U 220.5 | 54% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 54% |
| Race to 30 | 53% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 53% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 58.5 | 53% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Jared McCain: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5 | 52% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 52% |
| Thunder O/U 114.5 | 52% |
| Suns 1H O/U 53.5 | 52% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Suns O/U 106.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Suns O/U 92.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Collin Gillespie: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Collin Gillespie: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Collin Gillespie: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Green: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Green: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Green: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Khaman Maluach: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Khaman Maluach: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Khaman Maluach: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Khaman Maluach: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Race to 10 | 48% |
| Race to 20 | 48% |
| O/U 222.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 48% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 15.5 | 46% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 24.5 | 45% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 45% |
| Thunder O/U 116.5 | 45% |
| Suns O/U 108.5 | 45% |
| O/U 224.5 | 44% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5 | 44% |
| Suns 1H O/U 55.5 | 44% |
| Spread -10.5 | 43% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 21.5 | 43% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 60.5 | 43% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 42% |
| Jordan Goodwin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 42% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 41% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 41% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| Spread -11.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 40% |
| O/U 226.5 | 39% |
| Suns O/U 110.5 | 39% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Thunder O/U 118.5 | 38% |
| Spread -12.5 | 37% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 37% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Jordan Goodwin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| O/U 228.5 | 35% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| Suns 1H O/U 57.5 | 35% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Points O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Spread -13.5 | 34% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 34% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 34% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 62.5 | 34% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Suns O/U 112.5 | 33% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Assists O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Spread -14.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 32% |
| Thunder O/U 120.5 | 32% |
| O/U 230.5 | 31% |
| 1H Moneyline | 31% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 28% |
| Suns O/U 114.5 | 28% |
| Spread -16.5 | 27% |
| O/U 232.5 | 27% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | 26% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Thunder O/U 122.5 | 26% |
| Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| O/U 234.5 | 24% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| Spread -18.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5 | 21% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 21% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 21% |
| Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| O/U 236.5 | 20% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Points O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 34.5 | 19% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| Thunder O/U 124.5 | 19% |
| Spread -20.5 | 18% |
| O/U 238.5 | 18% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Assists O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| Spread -5.5 | 15% |
| Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 3.5 | 15% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| Spread -22.5 | 14% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 14% |
| Jordan Goodwin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 29.5 | 12% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 12% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -24.5 | 11% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 39.5 | 11% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 11% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 11% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Jared McCain: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 44.5 | 10% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 10% |
| Jordan Goodwin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| Spread -26.5 | 9% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 9% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 39.5 | 9% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 9% |
| Spread -36.5 | 8% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 49.5 | 8% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 8% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 8% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 8% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Jared McCain: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Spread -11.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 29.5 | 7% |
| Spread -28.5 | 6% |
| Spread -30.5 | 6% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 6% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| Spread -15.5 | 4% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 9.5 | 4% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Spread -32.5 | 3% |
| Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 5.5 | 3% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
| Spread -34.5 | 2% |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 9.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 29.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 0% |
Market context
Suns vs. Thunder. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 26% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-27T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.1M.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Suns vs. Thunder. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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Trade توقع: Suns vs. Thunder on احتمالات كأس العالم
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