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توقع: Venezia FC vs. ACF Fiorentina - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Venezia FC vs. ACF Fiorentina - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 95% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 84% O/U 1.5 81% ACF Fiorentina O/U 0.5 81% Volume: $70K Liquidity: $810K Closes: 11 Sept 2026
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توقع: Venezia FC vs. ACF Fiorentina - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
2nd Half O/U 0.584%
O/U 1.581%
ACF Fiorentina O/U 0.581%
Venezia FC O/U 0.578%
1st Half O/U 0.574%
ACF Fiorentina 2nd Half O/U 0.566%
Both Teams to Score64%
O/U 2.559%
2nd Half O/U 1.552%
Venezia FC 2nd Half O/U 0.552%
Venezia FC 1st Half O/U 0.551%
ACF Fiorentina 1st Half O/U 0.550%
Venezia FC 1st Half (-2.5)50%
Venezia FC 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
ACF Fiorentina 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Venezia FC 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
ACF Fiorentina 2nd Half (-1.5)50%
ACF Fiorentina O/U 1.547%
Venezia FC O/U 1.544%
1st Half O/U 1.539%
O/U 3.537%
ACF Fiorentina 2nd Half O/U 1.537%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half34%
ACF Fiorentina 1st Half O/U 1.533%
Venezia FC 2nd Half O/U 1.533%
ACF Fiorentina 1st Half (-2.5)32%
Venezia FC 1st Half O/U 1.528%
2nd Half O/U 2.525%
Both Teams to Score in First Half24%
O/U 4.519%
ACF Fiorentina O/U 2.519%
ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)18%
Venezia FC O/U 2.518%
Venezia FC (-1.5)16%
1st Half O/U 2.514%
ACF Fiorentina 1st Half (-1.5)10%
O/U 5.58%
Venezia FC 1st Half (-1.5)8%
ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)7%
Venezia FC (-2.5)6%

Market context

Venezia FC vs. ACF Fiorentina - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 16% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-11T18:45:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Venezia FC vs. ACF Fiorentina - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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