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توقع: IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 97% IK Sirius O/U 0.5 93% O/U 1.5 89% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 86% Volume: $44K Liquidity: $682K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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توقع: IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
97% 3% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
97% 3% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.597%
IK Sirius O/U 0.593%
O/U 1.589%
2nd Half O/U 0.586%
1st Half O/U 0.581%
IK Sirius 2nd Half O/U 0.577%
IK Sirius O/U 1.574%
O/U 2.571%
IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 0.570%
IF Brommapojkarna O/U 0.562%
2nd Half O/U 1.561%
Both Teams to Score57%
IK Sirius (-1.5)52%
IK Sirius O/U 2.549%
O/U 3.548%
1st Half O/U 1.548%
IK Sirius 2nd Half O/U 1.544%
IF Brommapojkarna 2nd Half O/U 0.543%
IF Brommapojkarna 1st Half O/U 0.534%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half34%
IK Sirius 1st Half O/U 1.533%
2nd Half O/U 2.532%
IK Sirius (-2.5)31%
O/U 4.528%
IF Brommapojkarna O/U 1.525%
Both Teams to Score in First Half23%
1st Half O/U 2.523%
O/U 5.516%
IF Brommapojkarna 2nd Half O/U 1.512%
IF Brommapojkarna 1st Half O/U 1.59%
IF Brommapojkarna O/U 2.57%
IF Brommapojkarna (-1.5)3%
IF Brommapojkarna (-2.5)1%

Market context

IK Sirius host IF Brommapojkarna in Allsvenskan at Studenternas IP, with kick-off set for 17:00 UTC. The market’s 52% yes price sits close to a coin flip, but the historical frame points slightly towards Sirius: FootyStats’ head-to-head record shows Sirius have won nine of the last 12 meetings, with Brommapojkarna taking two and one draw, while recent meetings at this ground have also leaned Sirius’ way[18]. Sports Mole note Sirius have won three of the last five clashes, and Brommapojkarna’s only win in that span came against the run of the broader series[2].

The more immediate read comes from current form and team news. Sports Mole say Brommapojkarna arrive unbeaten in four league matches after a 1-1 draw with GAIS, a run that has steadied them after a slow start, while Sirius are on a stronger winning streak and were described as having won their last four before this fixture[2][6]. That combination helps explain why the market is not pricing a one-sided outcome despite Sirius’ superior record. Traders should watch the final line-ups and any late changes around attacking availability, because this sort of market often moves most on a single striker absence or a rotation decision rather than on the headline table position; the listed previews do not flag a major suspension or injury issue, so confirmed teams will be the key catalyst[2][5][6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: IK Sirius vs. IF Brommapojkarna - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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