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توقع: FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Arsenal FC 12% FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Arsenal FC 10% FC Bayern München 1 - 2 Arsenal FC 8% FC Bayern München 2 - 2 Arsenal FC 8% Volume: $123K Liquidity: $2.8M Closes: 21 Oct 2026
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توقع: FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
12% 88% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
12% 88% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Arsenal FC12%
FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Arsenal FC10%
FC Bayern München 1 - 2 Arsenal FC8%
FC Bayern München 2 - 2 Arsenal FC8%
FC Bayern München 1 - 0 Arsenal FC7%
FC Bayern München 0 - 1 Arsenal FC6%
FC Bayern München 2 - 0 Arsenal FC6%
FC Bayern München 4 - 5 Arsenal FC6%
FC Bayern München 0 - 0 Arsenal FC5%
FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Arsenal FC5%
FC Bayern München 0 - 5 Arsenal FC5%
FC Bayern München 5 - 4 Arsenal FC5%
Any Other Score5%
FC Bayern München 0 - 2 Arsenal FC4%
FC Bayern München 1 - 3 Arsenal FC4%
FC Bayern München 3 - 2 Arsenal FC4%
FC Bayern München 3 - 0 Arsenal FC3%
FC Bayern München 2 - 3 Arsenal FC3%
FC Bayern München 3 - 5 Arsenal FC3%
FC Bayern München 5 - 5 Arsenal FC3%
FC Bayern München 0 - 3 Arsenal FC2%
FC Bayern München 4 - 1 Arsenal FC2%
FC Bayern München 3 - 3 Arsenal FC2%
FC Bayern München 4 - 2 Arsenal FC2%
FC Bayern München 2 - 5 Arsenal FC2%
FC Bayern München 0 - 4 Arsenal FC1%
FC Bayern München 4 - 0 Arsenal FC1%
FC Bayern München 1 - 4 Arsenal FC1%
FC Bayern München 5 - 0 Arsenal FC1%
FC Bayern München 1 - 5 Arsenal FC1%
FC Bayern München 2 - 4 Arsenal FC1%
FC Bayern München 5 - 1 Arsenal FC1%
FC Bayern München 3 - 4 Arsenal FC1%
FC Bayern München 4 - 3 Arsenal FC1%
FC Bayern München 5 - 2 Arsenal FC1%
FC Bayern München 5 - 3 Arsenal FC1%
FC Bayern München 4 - 4 Arsenal FC0%

Market context

The توقع: FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score prediction market currently prices this outcome at 12% YES. In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern München and Arsenal FC, scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern Mü…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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