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توقع: UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)

"توقع: UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 70% O/U 2.5 Rounds 65% O/U 1.5 Rounds 64% O/U 3.5 Rounds 57% Volume: $55K Liquidity: $33K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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توقع: UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds70%
O/U 2.5 Rounds65%
O/U 1.5 Rounds64%
O/U 3.5 Rounds57%
Salkilld to win by KO/TKO?50%
Fight to Go the Distance?46%
Fight won by submission?44%
O/U 4.5 Rounds44%
Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld42%
Gamrot to win by KO/TKO?42%
Fight won by KO/TKO?26%

Market context

The توقع: UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 70% YES. This market will resolve to "Mateusz Gamrot" if Mateusz Gamrot is officially declared the winner of the fight against Quillan Salkilld at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 70% for "توقع: UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 70% Other 30%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $55K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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