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توقع: UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card)

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card)" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat 100% Fight to Go the Distance? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $743K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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توقع: UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat100%
Fight to Go the Distance?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds100%
Fight won by KO/TKO?0%
Asplund to win by KO/TKO?0%
Pat to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for توقع: UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card). This market will resolve to "Steven Asplund" if Steven Asplund is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat at 100% for "توقع: UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card)".

Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $743K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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Related Topics

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