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توقع: San Marino vs. Albania - More Markets

Football snapshot for "توقع: San Marino vs. Albania - More Markets" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

O/U 0.5 98% Albania O/U 0.5 97% O/U 1.5 89% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 88% Volume: $134K Liquidity: $602K Closes: 29 Sept 2026
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توقع: San Marino vs. Albania - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
98% 2% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
98% 2% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.598%
Albania O/U 0.597%
O/U 1.589%
2nd Half O/U 0.588%
Albania O/U 1.586%
Albania 2nd Half O/U 0.584%
1st Half O/U 0.583%
Albania (-1.5)81%
Albania 1st Half O/U 0.581%
O/U 2.573%
Albania O/U 2.567%
Albania (-2.5)61%
2nd Half O/U 1.559%
Albania 2nd Half O/U 1.556%
1st Half O/U 1.553%
O/U 3.552%
Albania 1st Half O/U 1.550%
San Marino 2nd Half O/U 1.549%
San Marino O/U 4.549%
San Marino O/U 5.549%
2nd Half O/U 3.549%
2nd Half O/U 4.549%
San Marino 2nd Half O/U 2.549%
San Marino 2nd Half O/U 3.549%
San Marino 1st Half O/U 1.548%
San Marino 1st Half O/U 3.547%
San Marino O/U 3.546%
San Marino 1st Half O/U 2.546%
San Marino (-4.5)45%
San Marino (-5.5)45%
Albania O/U 3.544%
Albania (-3.5)39%
2nd Half O/U 2.532%
Albania 1st Half O/U 3.532%
O/U 4.531%
Albania 2nd Half O/U 2.530%
Albania O/U 4.525%
1st Half O/U 2.524%
San Marino O/U 0.524%
Both Teams to Score23%
Albania (-4.5)23%
Albania 1st Half O/U 2.521%
O/U 5.517%
San Marino 2nd Half O/U 0.515%
Albania 2nd Half O/U 3.514%
Albania (-5.5)12%
San Marino 1st Half O/U 0.511%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half11%
Albania O/U 5.511%
O/U 6.59%
1st Half O/U 3.59%
Both Teams to Score in First Half6%
1st Half O/U 4.55%
San Marino O/U 1.54%
San Marino O/U 2.53%
O/U 7.53%
O/U 8.51%
San Marino (-1.5)0%
San Marino (-2.5)0%
San Marino (-3.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: san marino vs. albania - more markets stands at 98% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 29 at 2:45 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: San Marino vs. Albania - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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