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توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 67% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 67% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 66% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 56% Volume: $100K Liquidity: $386K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.567%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.567%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.566%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)54%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)54%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)53%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5)51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.546%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.545%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.545%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)45%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)45%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5)45%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.534%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.533%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.533%
Map 1 Winner27%
Map 2 Winner26%
Match Winner20%

Market context

توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha — current market-implied probability: 67%. This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 31 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Evil Genius…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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