Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
49% | 51% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
49% | 51% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -8.5 | 49% |
| O/U 187.5 | 49% |
| Pauline Astier: Assists O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| Spread -9.5 | 46% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Points O/U 18.5 | 42% |
| Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 16.5 | 42% |
| Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.5 | 40% |
| Jonquel Jones: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Pauline Astier: Points O/U 7.5 | 37% |
| Rae Burrell: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Rae Burrell: Assists O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Jonquel Jones: Assists O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| Breanna Stewart: Points O/U 22.5 | 27% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Breanna Stewart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Jonquel Jones: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Sabrina Ionescu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Breanna Stewart: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 25% |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty | 24% |
| Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 24% |
| Dearica Hamby: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 3.5 | 24% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 49% probability to توقع: los angeles sparks vs. new york liberty. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 13 at 8:00PM ET: If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks". If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $131K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty on احتمالات كأس العالم
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