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توقع: Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Spread -4.5 56% Spread -5.5 52% O/U 176.5 52% Bridget Carleton: Assists O/U 2.5 51% Volume: $317K Liquidity: $650K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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توقع: Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -4.556%
Spread -5.552%
O/U 176.552%
Bridget Carleton: Assists O/U 2.551%
O/U 177.551%
Kahleah Copper: Points O/U 21.550%
Bridget Carleton: Points O/U 16.550%
Carla Leite: Points O/U 16.550%
Alyssa Thomas: Points O/U 16.550%
Megan DiLeo: Points O/U 13.550%
DeWanna Bonner: Points O/U 11.550%
Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 8.550%
DeWanna Bonner: Rebounds O/U 6.550%
Bridget Carleton: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Megan DiLeo: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Kahleah Copper: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Carla Leite: Rebounds O/U 2.550%
Alyssa Thomas: Assists O/U 8.550%
Carla Leite: Assists O/U 6.550%
Kahleah Copper: Assists O/U 2.550%
DeWanna Bonner: Assists O/U 2.550%
Carla Leite: Assists O/U 7.550%
Emily Engstler: Assists O/U 2.550%
Megan DiLeo: Points O/U 14.550%
Bridget Carleton: Points O/U 15.550%
O/U 178.549%
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury33%

Market context

The توقع: Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction market currently prices this outcome at 56% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 16 at 7:00PM ET: If the Portland Fire win, the market will resolve to "Portland Fire". If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix M…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -4.5 at 56% for "توقع: Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury".

Spread -4.5 56% Other 44%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $317K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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