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توقع: Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Completed Match 100% Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Match O/U 21.5 100% Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $360K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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توقع: Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Match O/U 21.5100%
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Match O/U 22.5100%
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie0%
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Set 2 Winner0%
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Set 1 Winner0%
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Match O/U 23.50%
Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for توقع: Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie. This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Cameron Norrie in the Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Canadian Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Cameron Norrie. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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