Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 2 Winner | 50% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Game Spread +/-3.5 | 50% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena | 1% |
| Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena Set 1 Winner | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for توقع: Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena. This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Boscardin Dias and Facundo Mena in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pedr…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Buenos Aires 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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