Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% |
| Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold | 0% |
| Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for توقع: Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold. This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Lucas Da Silva and Mika Brunold in the Tulln, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Lucas Da …
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Tulln: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Mika Brunold. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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