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توقع: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 8.5 70% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 21.5 65% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 10.5 64% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 22.5 56% Volume: $103K Liquidity: $355K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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توقع: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 8.570%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 21.565%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 10.564%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 22.556%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 9.556%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Match O/U 23.548%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 Winner47%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 8.546%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 Winner46%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor42%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Total Sets: O/U 2.541%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 2 O/U 9.536%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set 1 O/U 10.535%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set Handicap +/-1.534%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor Set Handicap +/-1.526%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 70% YES probability for توقع: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor. This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Tallon Griekspoor in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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