🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogView on Polymarket →

توقع: Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig 100% Completed Match 100% Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Set 1 Winner 100% Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $242K Liquidity: $163K Closes: 30 Oct 2026
Open live market →
توقع: Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig100%
Completed Match100%
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Set 1 Winner100%
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Set 2 Winner100%
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Match O/U 21.50%
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Match O/U 22.50%
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Match O/U 23.50%
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig Game Spread +/-1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of توقع: lisbon: marco trungelliti vs matej dodig. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Matej Dodig in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade توقع: Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Matej Dodig on احتمالات كأس العالم

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets