توقع: Highest temperature in Atlanta on August 1?

Platform comparison

Market context

Atlanta’s high on 1 August will be set by the hottest reading at Hartsfield-Jackson, not by the day’s average or overnight conditions, so the market is really about whether the afternoon peak lands in a narrow band. The historical shape of the date is fairly warm: Atlanta’s long-run August 1 record high is 99°F, while the typical high is about 89.6°F, which makes mid-to-upper 80s a more common outcome than a genuine heat spike.[1]

That is why a 0% yes price looks detached from the baseline climate rather than from an extreme-weather scenario. Atlanta’s August averages sit in the upper 80s, and recent market context points to a forecast near 84–87°F for August 1, with cloud cover and humidity limiting how far temperatures can run.[2][3][15] In practical terms, the market should be read against whether the airport reaches the upper 80s before any late-afternoon cloud build or shower activity cuts off heating.

The main catalysts are the timing and intensity of convective rain, plus any last-minute forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service. The market description also matters: settlement uses the daily high reported for the airport station on Wunderground, and revisions are accepted only until the first datapoint for the following date is published, so traders will watch the final hourly observations around local afternoon peak heating closely.[2] Recent Atlanta summer climate summaries show that even in hot seasons the city can still produce 95–100°F days, but those are typically tied to stronger ridging and cleaner skies than the current mid-80s setup.[4][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Highest temperature in Atlanta on August 1?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

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