توقع: Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 10?

Platform comparison

Market context

Chongqing’s airport temperature on 10 August is trading in a city where August is usually the hottest month, with average highs around the mid-30s Celsius and occasional spikes into the low 40s. Historical climate references put the August average maximum near 33.6–35°C, while extreme heat events have reached 39.5–43°C, so the market’s centre of gravity is firmly in the mid-30s rather than the low 30s. [3][8][13][17]

That backdrop helps explain why the crowd has concentrated around **34°C** and **35°C**, with smaller positions still on **33°C** and below. Current forecast material points to a daytime maximum near 34–35°C, although one 10-day forecast for 10 August shows a cooler-looking 95°F/35°C high with thunderstorms in the mix, and another daily forecast page prints a lower 91°F/33°C figure for the same day. For traders, the main catalysts are whether convection or cloud cover trims the afternoon peak, and whether the airport observation line posts an update after the first reading for 11 August, because the market resolves off the Weather Underground Daily Observations table rather than the summary high/low. [2][11][15]

Recent heatwave coverage from Reuters shows Chongqing can flip quickly into severe summer heat, with residents seeking shelter during intense southwest China heat. That matters here because the settlement source is the airport station, so localised effects such as late-morning storm activity, humidity, and timing of the day’s warmest observation can decide whether the print lands in the 34°C or 35°C band, even when broader city forecasts look similar. [14][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 10?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

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FAQ

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