توقع: Highest temperature in Seattle on August 10?

Platform comparison

Market context

Seattle's weather on 10 August 2026 will be measured by the highest temperature recorded in the Daily Observations table at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, with settlement based on Weather Underground data rather than summary figures. The market currently shows 0% probability across all temperature ranges, suggesting either extreme uncertainty or a data input issue requiring clarification before the August settlement window.

Historical August temperatures at Sea-Tac Airport provide the baseline for calibration. The airport's all-time August high stands at 96°F, recorded in 1981, whilst typical August highs average around 79°F. The last decade shows considerable variability: August 2021 peaked at 89°F, August 2023 at 85°F, and August 2024 at 88°F. These recent patterns indicate that whilst temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s are most probable, occasional spikes into the low 90s remain within normal Pacific Northwest summer variance.

Traders should monitor National Weather Service forecasts released in early August 2026, particularly any heat dome warnings or high-pressure systems tracking into the Pacific Northwest. The distinction between Weather Underground's Daily Observations table and its Day High & Low summary section matters operationally; historical discrepancies between these sources are rare but documented. Confirmation of which specific temperature range the market intends to resolve against should be verified before committing capital, given the current 0% reading suggests potential settlement specification ambiguity.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Highest temperature in Seattle on August 10?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.