توقع: Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8?

Platform comparison

Market context

Incheon Airport is forecast to run hot on 8 August, with Seoul-area guidance clustering around the mid-to-high 30s Celsius and some models showing a peak near 35–39°C, while Weather Underground is currently even higher at 98°F/77°F, roughly 37°C/25°C.[1][3][11] That keeps the market’s current 0% yes price notable, because the day’s expected range sits well inside the sort of values that have already been on the board all week rather than implying an outlier cool spell.[1][2][3]

For context, late-summer heat in the Seoul metro is ordinary, but the exact settlement point depends on the station’s observed maximum, not the broader city forecast or headline “day high” figures.[11] KMA’s short-range outlook for the capital area has also pointed to continued heat, with temperatures in the low 30s Celsius and only limited rain signals, which usually means the trader focus is whether cloud, showers or a thunderstorm band trims the station maximum by a degree or two rather than whether the day turns genuinely cool.[8][12]

The main catalysts are timing and convective rain. AccuWeather and Time and Date both show a hot Saturday with showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon, and Weather Underground describes the day as fair with the temperature “nearly the same as yesterday”, so any revised precipitation or thunderstorm timing could affect whether the highest hourly reading lands in the upper 30s or settles lower.[2][7][11] Traders should also watch for KMA updates and any airport-specific observation changes through the morning and early afternoon, because the market resolves off the Daily Observations table at Incheon Intl Airport Station, not the summary high/low box.[8][11]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

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What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

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Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.