Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Team Liquid (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs Team Liquid (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Team Liquid (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-6.5) vs Team Liquid (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-7.5) vs Team Liquid (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-8.5) vs Team Liquid (+8.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 74% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 72% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) | 51% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Team Liquid (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Team Liquid (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5) | 50% |
| Match Winner | 35% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) | 35% |
| Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) | 26% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 0% |
Market context
The توقع: Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Liquid and Paper Rex in the VCT Champions Group C, initially scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Li…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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