🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogView on Polymarket →

توقع: Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 8.5 81% Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Match O/U 21.5 57% Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 9.5 54% Completed Match 51% Volume: $97K Liquidity: $298K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
Open live market →
توقع: Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 8.581%
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Match O/U 21.557%
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 9.554%
Completed Match51%
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Set 2 Winner50%
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Match O/U 22.549%
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 Winner48%
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller47%
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Match O/U 23.543%
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Game Spread +/-1.542%
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Total Sets: O/U 2.538%
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Set Handicap +/-1.535%
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Set 1 O/U 10.531%
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller Set Handicap +/-1.528%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 81% probability to توقع: chengdu open: federico cina vs alexandre muller. This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Cina and Alexandre Muller in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

Trade توقع: Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller on احتمالات كأس العالم

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets