Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via احتمالات كأس العالم) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| New York City FC 1 - 1 Toronto FC | 100% |
| New York City FC 0 - 0 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 0 - 1 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 1 - 0 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 0 - 2 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 2 - 0 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 0 - 3 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 1 - 2 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 2 - 1 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 3 - 0 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 1 - 3 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 2 - 2 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 3 - 1 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 2 - 3 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 3 - 2 Toronto FC | 0% |
| New York City FC 3 - 3 Toronto FC | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
New York City FC meeting Toronto FC has historically produced enough goals to make exact-score markets less sticky than a simple home-win view. The recent head-to-head run is one-sided in NYCFC’s favour: New York won 3-1 on 3 July 2025, 1-0 in Toronto on 26 April 2025, and had already beaten Toronto 3-0, 2-1 and 3-1 in the preceding meetings listed by ESPN and FBref.[1][14][15] Across the broader series, FootyStats records New York with 13 wins to Toronto’s 9, with 7 draws from 29 matches, which is consistent with a fixture that has often landed in the 1-0, 2-1, 3-1 range rather than a single dominant scoreline.[12][17]
The main trading catalysts are team-news driven: starting line-ups, any late injury flags, and whether either side rotates after a heavy schedule. NYCFC’s own pre-match notes had already highlighted Toronto’s away fragility, including a six-match winless run on the road and 19 goals conceded across that stretch in the club’s prior context piece.[4] That sort of profile keeps 2-0, 2-1 and 3-1 type outcomes live, but the exact-score market still depends heavily on whether Toronto can score first or whether NYCFC’s attack carries the edge shown in the recent meetings and shot data.[7][11] The live match page and team stats feed are the key places to watch for late changes to shape, availability and finishing volume.[16][18]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: New York City FC vs. Toronto FC - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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